Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA Free Picks & Predictions for Friday, March 1, 2013 Print
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Friday, 01 March 2013 16:02
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Free Pick

thunder nuggets nba free picks predictions odds trends

DENVER, CO (ATS Consultants) - The Nuggets have been almost unbeatable at home this year and will look to improve upon their stellar record in the Pepsi Center when they host the Thunder tonight at 10:30PM ET.

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ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed the Thunder are 1.5-point favorites versus the Nuggets while the over/under total is currently sitting at 219.5 points. Denver is 37-22 overall while Oklahoma City is 42-15 overall.

LINE MOVEMENT: This game opened as a pick’em but the spread has now been bet up to 1.5 in favor of Oklahoma. As for the total, it opened at 221 but the number has been bet down to 220.5, 220, or 219.5 depending on what sports book you view.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 64% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Thunder. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.

NBA FREE PICK: Take Denver. According to latest NBA trends, the Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Denver is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win,  11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game,  24-9 ATS in their last 33 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games playing on 1 days rest.

Oklahoma City (42-15 SU, 34-21-1 ATS, 30-27 O/U) has won three straight after losing three straight. They beat New Orleans,119-74 on Wednesday giving 14.5 at home. Denver (37-22 SU, 34-24-1 ATS, 37-22 O/U) is coming off winning four straight games, including a 111-109 victory over Portland on the road, giving 2. The Nuggets are one of the best home teams in the NBA, going 24-3 SU so far. Danilo Gallinari is expected to return after missing the last two games with a thigh bruise. He's averaging around 17 points per game to lead the team. Point guard Ty Lawson has taken up the slack with a 30 points against the Trail Blazers. He's averaging 26.1 points per game over the last eight games and is also averaging 7.1 assists. Wilson Chandler came in for Gallinari and poured in 23 over the Lakers on Monday. Expect the home dominance for Denver at home to continue.

2013 NBA FREE PICK: DENVER NUGGETS +1.5

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