Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Chicago +116 over PHILADELPHIAFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
There’s a chance the White Sox revert back to their old ways after taking two of three in Detroit but winning is contagious and the 22 runs that the South Side scored at Comerica sure had to feel good. Chicago did some serious damage against Justin Verlander and Anibal Sanchez and if that doesn’t springboard them, nothing will. Chicago’s run heading to the All-Star break could definitely continue here with John Danks going. Danks has now thrown three straight pure quality outings and is starting to round into form since returning from the DL in late May. Over his last three starts, covering 21.1 frames, Danks has issued just three walks while striking out 16. His 3.77 xERA confirms he’s been tough so expect his ERA to inch downward as a 16% hr/f regresses. Danks gets a favorable matchup rating here against the Phillies, who are hitting just .247 against lefties this season.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Jonathan Pettibone has kept the Phillies competitive for most of his 15 starts but his 3.84 ERA is likely heading south. Pettibone doesn’t walk batters at an excessive pace (27 in 84 IP) but with just 55 K’s, he doesn’t strike out batters at an acceptable clip, either. Pettibone’s decent ERA is a result of a fortunate strand rate more than skill. Pettibone is just 22 years old and though there’s not a lot of upside in his arm or arsenal, he has a classic innings-eater frame (6-6, 225). He’s also shown a composure on the mound that adds to the belief that he’ll have a substantial MLB career as a middle/low rotation type. However, there’s not lot of room for error in his stuff and he’s going to have several implosions every season over the course of his career. This could be one of them against a suddenly confident group of hitters. 
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
N.Y. Mets +127 over PITTSBURGHFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
No question that the Pirates are an improved team but they are not the second best team in baseball as their record suggests and there’s clear proof of that. The Pirates’ hitters are among the leaders in strikeouts and that does not correlate with being a .600 club. Pittsburgh’s .243 team batting average is comparable to the Mets, Marlins, Astros, Cubs and Mariners and we all know what those teams have in common. With a meek offense and a starting rotation that is average at best, expect the Pirates to sink faster than Ilya Kovalchuk’s popularity in New Jersey. This overachieving team is going to be a good fade and we’ll continue to play against them unless they show us something else. Charlie Morton has held his own in his five starts since returning from TJ surgery but a 1.33 WHIP and 15 runs against (9 earned) reminds us that this is still Charlie Morton. Morton has a career BAA of .289 and a career ERA of 4.98 in 497 career innings. Backing Morton and the Pirates at a price is a poor risk.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Mets have won four in a row and five of six. In those five wins they scored 35 times and that includes 21 runs scored at San Fran in a big-time pitcher’s park. Jeremy Hefner's numbers have been some of the best in baseball lately as he's gone 3-1 with a 1.70 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over his last six outings. While he obviously won't keep this up all season (90% strand rate in the last month), there's some real skill growth going on here. Hefner has a 7/30 BB/K rate over his last 37 innings to go along with an elite groundball rate of 53% and an even more impressive line-drive rate of just 14%. Hefner has been downright dominant recently at some difficult venues that include Miller Park, Coors Field and Citizens Bank Park. He’s also allowed two runs or fewer in seven straight starts and the Mets have won his last five in a row. Chances are they make it six here. 
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
N.Y. YANKEES -1½ +117 over MinnesotaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The All-Star break can’t get here soon enough for the Twins. They lost again yesterday for the fifth straight time, they’ve lost 11 of their last 12 and they have just four wins in their past 20 games. Scott Diamond is one of the worst skilled pitchers in baseball and if he were on any other team he would be a mop-up guy or in the minors. In 88 innings, Diamond has 42 K’s and a 1.53 WHIP. Over his past five starts, he has a 1.63 WHIP and a 6.36 ERA. His groundball rate has been getting progressively worse with each passing month and it is now at a season low 32% over his past four starts. Diamond is running out of gas. He’s been tagged for six jacks over his last 16.1 innings. He’s struck out two batters or less in three of his last five starts. In his last start, he walked four Blue Jays while striking out one. Diamond has lost whatever confidence he did have and he’s probably dreading taking the hill today to face a Yankees team coming off back-to-back eight-run outbursts. The team he pitches for has also lost confidence.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Yanks are not in bad shape. They are just six games out with this three-game set upcoming heading into the break. Hiroki Kuroda continues to thumb his nose at the aging curve, as he continues to flourish. His skills have even taken a step up in a tough ballpark, especially in the past month in which Kuroda has posted a 2.62 ERA and 0.87 WHIP over five starts. A 50% groundball rate and a low 15% line-drive rate confirms that Kuroda is gamely fighting off his 38 years. The Yanks rarely lose when Kuroda pitches at home, as his 5-2 record and 1.89 home ERA will attest to. That said, this one is all about fading Scott Diamond.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Toronto +127 over BALTIMOREFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Orioles are coming off back-to-back wins over the Rangers but they only have three wins in their past eight games and their offense is trending the wrong way. Over their past 10 games, the O’s are hitting just .220, which ranks ahead of only Houston and San Fran over that stretch. They are hitting just .248 against lefties the entire season and just .196 against southpaws over their last 10 games. Overall, the Orioles are just 7-7 at home against lefties and will face a crafty one here in Mark Buehrle. Analyzing Mark Buehrle is like re-watching a favorite movie; you know exactly what to expect: an overachieving xERA, low strikeouts and outstanding command. While Buehrle struggled early in his shift to the AL East, he’s been coming on strong with an ERA of 3.00 over his past five starts to go along with an increasing 44% groundball rate, up from 38% in his first three months as a Blue Jay. Buehrle is more than capable of containing a cold hitting squad.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The main reason for this choice is wagering against Chris Tillman, whose skills are deteriorating rather quickly. Over his last 29 frames, Tillman was walked 15 batters while whiffing 19. His xERA of 5.74 over the past month is more than 1½ runs higher than his actual 3.99 ERA. Tillman has an ugly 33%/29%/38% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball/ profile over his last five starts to go along with a brutal 1.68 WHIP. Chris Tillman is 10-3 with a 3.92 ERA and that has this below average pitcher extremely overvalued. He’s on the verge of a string of serious implosions and will remain on our radar as fade material.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

MLB Predictions

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 -115

The Dodgers continue to roll with a 6-1 victory last night over the Rockies. That is 5 straight wins and they've scored 6+ runs in 5 straight. The Rockies got very little going offensively and they've now lost 8 of their last 11 games, and they've scored 1 or fewer runs in 5 of 7. Tonight we've got a pitching mis-match with Juan Nicasion on the mound for Colorado and ace Clayton Kershaw taking the rubber for the Dodgers. Nicasio is 4-4 on the season with a 5.31 ERA, .271 OBA and 1.46 WHIP. Even though he pitches in a hitters friendly park his ERA rises to 5.68 ERA on the road over 9 starts with opponents hitting .303 off him. In his last three starts he has lasted no more than 5.2 innings giving up 5, 2 and 6 earned runs for a 9.00 ERA. Kershaw is 8-5 on the season with a 1.89 ERA, .186 OBA and 0.90 WHIP. At home he has a microscopic 1.60 ERA, .195 OBA and 0.92 WHIP. Over his last three starts he's pitched 8+ innings allowing just 3 earned runs in total for a 1.08 ERA. The Rockies are 3-8 in their last 11 overall, 21-43 in their last 64 road games dating back to last year, 3-8 in their last 11 divisvional games, and 14-37 in their last 51 games vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Dodgers are 17-5 in their last 22 games overall, 18-6 in their last 24 games as a favorite, 7-1 in their last 8 home games, and 10-1 in their last 11 vs a starter with a WHIP higher than 1.30. They are akso 39-13 in Kershaw's last 58 home starts and 7-0 in his last 7 home starts vs the Rockies (4-1 in his last 5 vs them overall). I look for the Dodgers to continue with the hot bats and Kershaw to limit the Rockies tonight. Take the Dodgers on the run line.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Wunderdog

Chicago at Connecticut
Pick: Connecticut +4

The Connecticut Sun has perhaps been the most disappointing team in the WNBA this season. They simply have too much talent to be 3-8 on the season. They now realize that time is running out, so this becomes a huge game for them. They do have a great PG in Kara Lawson and a strong inside presence in Tina Charles, which gives them favorable matchup against Sylvia Fowles, and rookie sensation Elena Delle Donne. They will also be out to redeem an 11-point loss to Chicago early in the season. Play Connecticut.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Craig Davis

Free play of the day on the Tampa Bay Rays over the Houston Astros on the run line.

This is as mismatch if I've ever seen one, and if I had more faith in the Rays I'd be releasing this as a paid play instead of a free play.

Tampa is coming off a complete domination of the Minnesota Twins, including last night's 4-3 win with Matt Moore on the mound.

As good as he's been this year, I have more faith in David Price and he gets a weaker team.

The left-hander (Price) goes for his third consecutive victory since returning from the DL as the Rays are attempting to win their ninth straight game.

Tampa Bay has also won 12 of 13 to move to 13 games over .500 and in second place in the AL East. They haven't tasted first place in the division yet, but they have been in the basement.

Price (3-4, 4.18 ERA) has won both of his starts after missing nearly seven weeks with a triceps strain and will only get stronger as the season wears on .

Houston continues on their road trip with Jarred Cosart getting the call against Price. Cosart was 7-4 with a 3.29 ERA with Triple-A Oklahoma City... but there's no telling how he'll do tonight against Tampa.

Well, I'll tell you... this is not the team you want to get called up to face... they're hitting the ball too well at the moment. He'd be better off facing a Triple-A team.

Take the Rays as your free play of the day.

3♦ TAMPA BAY -1.5

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Jeff Benton

Friday night freebie is the Angels over the Mariners.

Los Angeles had yesterday off after a 13-2 romp over the Cubbies on Wednesday in Chicago, and now they will face a battered Seattle pitching staff that surrendered a whopping 30 runs over their last 3 games - all losses - at home to the Boston Red Sox.

Seattle will turn to former Halo Joe Saunders who is 0-2 in his 2 starts against his former club. Saunders has been scuffling of late, going 1-3 with a 7.45 ERA his last 4 starts in his home park.

Angels will start Jerome Williams who has struggled of late as well, but he does have some solid numbers against Seattle, going 4-1 with a 3.38 ERA in his 5 career starts versus the M's.

Los Angeles has captured 5 of the last 6 season series meetings, and are on a 6-3 run against Seattle dating back to the middle of April.

Have to side with the Angels to take the series opener tonight.

2♦ L.A. ANGELS

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Brad Wilton

Now 5 straight comp play winners as Boston and Seattle sail way Over the total on Thursday afternoon.

I told you yesterday the Over is the play in Seattle games lately, especially at Safeco Field, and you saw yet another high-scoring affair for the Mariners at home.

Maybe it is the air in King County this summer, or maybe it is the lack of pitching? Whatever it is, the Over is now 11-1 the last dozen Seattle home games.

11-1!!!

Care to make it 12-1?

The Angels are fresh off a 13 run outburst Wednesday in Chicago against the Cubs, and the Over for the Halos is 4-2-1 the last 7 times they have stepped on the diamond.

Jerome Williams and Joe Saunders have been serving them up lately, and both own season ERA's that are over 4.

It was easy money for free yesterday on the M's Over the total, it is easy money again on the M's at home Over the total.

5♦ L.A. ANEGLS-SEATTLE OVER

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

RocketmanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
San Francisco @ San DiegoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: San Francisco -108FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The San Francisco Giants travel to San Diego to take on the Padres on Friday night.  San Francisco has been solid at night over the years going 939-776 since 1997.  San Diego is 1-10 in July this year and have lost 12 of their last 13 games overall.  San Diego is scoring only 3.7 runs per game their past seven games overall and only 3.7 runs per game against right handed starters this year.  San Diego is allowing 5.4 runs per game their past seven games overall where teams have a combined batting average of .298 against them.  Chad Gaudin is 2-1 with a 2.44 ERA overall this year, 2-0 with a 2.86 ERA in all starts this season, 2-0 on the road this year and he has a 2.76 ERA his last 3 starts.  Sean O'Sullivan will be making his first start tonight.  Gaudin is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his one start vs San Diego in his career.  We'll recommend a small play on San Francisco tonight!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

FezzikFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Calgary / Montreal Under 53.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Coach Dan Hawkins ran the Colorado program into the ground and it has been a rugged start to the Alouettes season offensively.  Aging QB Anthony Calvillo has been sacked 11 times in two games and he's missing his mentor Marc Trestman, who is now the Chicago Bears head coach.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Montreal's 38-33 week 1 win actually saw very little offense occur, only a combined 650 yards for the two teams.  Each team had a punt return for a TD and a turnover led to a 3 yard TD drive, leading to the surprisingly high score.  The Alouettes rematch with the Blue Bombers in week 2 was more reflective of their sound defense and poor offense.  The 18-11 loss saw them force 5 turnovers yet score only 4 points as a result.   This is an under team right now.   
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Calgary QB Drew Tate has been playing as well as anyone in the league early in the season, completing over 70% of his passes with 5 TD's and only a single INT. But after leading his club to a 21-14 halftime lead, a problematic elbow limited his effectiveness in the 2nd half, and he was replaced by backup Kevin Glenn.  Glenn, was 4-7 with an interception.  Glenn is a solid replacement, but he is not Tate.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
With Montreal a clear under team, and Calgary's offense non-existent in the second half without their healthy starter last week, this line looks too high.  We like to look for early week games to go under the total in American football, and we'll look for the same in this CFL affair.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Jeff Alexander

Arizona D-backs -161

The Brewers have dropped seven of nine on the road where they have also lost 10 of 13 against left-handed starters. They have their work cut out for themselves tonight as they go up against All-Star lefty Pat Corbin. The D-backs are 23-7 in his last 30 starts and 10-1 in his last 11 at home where he has a 1.56 ERA this year. Corbin shut down the Brewers in Milwaukee earlier this season, and I expect a repeat performance. The D-backs are 4-0 in their last four overall against Milwaukee and 6-1 in their last seven at home in the series.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Dave Price

New York Mets +134

The Mets have won four in a row, all on the road where they have a winning record. They are in good position to continue their winning streak with Jeremy Hefner on the hill against a Pittsburgh club that's dropped four of five. The Mets have won each of Hefner's last five starts, and he's given up just one earned run in six of his last seven starts. Hefner won his only start against Pittsburgh last season, allowing three hits in seven innings while striking out seven and walking one in a 6-0 victory. Charlie Morton hasn't had any luck against the Mets. He's 0-2 (0-4 on the money line) with an ERA of 4.91 in four starts against them. Bet the Mets.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Andrew Lange

Cincinnati at Atlanta
Play: Cincinnati

I've been anti-Kris Medlen from the get-go this season in part because there was no way he was going to be able to match last year's production. His strikeouts are down, his walks are up, and his GB rate is down 10%. His current ERA sits at 3.45 but his xFIP is slightly below league average at 4.10. The key for Bronson Arroyo is the left-handed bat and while at full strength the Braves can cart a lot of lefties to the plate, they are without the services of Jordan Schafer (DL) and potentially Jason Heyward (questionable, hamstring). And I don't put much stock into Arroyo's home/road splits. Last season he was better on the highway whereas this year he sports a 5.70 ERA. To me, it's nothing more than randomness. This isn’t a perfect situation for Arroyo but the Braves are a free swinging bunch that at times has had difficulties with soft-tossing, breaking ball pitchers. Atlanta should be no more than a -120 favorite in this matchup which leaves value on the Reds at nearly +130.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Ray Monohan

Oakland A's -107

Great battle between two first place teams at Oakland tonight. Both A's and Red Sox are playing well with the A's returning home after a trip to visit Pittsburgh which would have been a breeze if they hadn't run into Francisco Liriano, who is about the best thing going right now. The A's are offering up Jarrod Parker tonight who is looking for his first win in three starts. Before that he had won 4 in a row (the A's won five of his starts in a row). He has never lost to Boston (2-0 with a 1.35 ERA). Plus Red Sox starter John Lackey inspires no confidence because even though he has strong overall numbers he is a much different pitcher on the road.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Brett Atkins

Wow, ready for the biggest underdog on the card? While my premium play today is on the biggest blowout, my freebie is on the biggest pup, with the Houston Astros taking a boatload of money from the Tampa Bay Rays. And with this game I want you listing right-handed freshman Jarred Cosart ONLY.

The 23-year-old Texas-native steps to the hill to make his Major League debut after the Astros promoted him from Triple-A Oklahoma City on Wednesday night, and I'm pretty excited to see what the Astros' top-ranked pitching prospect can do.

It's quite a chore to throw him into the fire at Tropicana Field, but you know what, this is an obscene number the Rays and David Price are laying. After all, Price hasn't been all that this season, and comes into this clash with a 3-4 mark and 4.18 ERA on the season.

Yes, Price is facing the Astros for the second time in two weeks, and yes, his July 2 start in Houston was impressive in his first start since missing 44 games with a left triceps strain. The veteran southpaw threw seven shutout innings and allowed three hits for the Rays, but that doesn't mean the Astros can't hit him

Let's take a shot with Houston's 6-foot-3, 180-pound youngster, who was 7-4 with a 3.29 ERA in 18 games (17 starts) with Oklahoma City. Remember, LIST Cosart only.

1♦ HOUSTON

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Bob Balfe

New York Mets +125

The bad news for the Pirates is it looks like the 2nd half meltdown is taking place. This is a team that just does not have the overall talent to compete for a whole season in their division. I really like this team, but they need to get a few more big name guys if they want to be the last men standing in their division. Don't look now, but the Mets are hitting the ball and trying to make some noise in a division that is about to really heat up in the 2nd half. Take the Mets.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
199237 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
43400
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
267548
Average Posts Per Hour:
5.0
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3356
Newest User:
Robert Rae
Members Online:
1
Guests Online:
4239

Online: 
Mark huynh

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com