Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 30

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 30

Brett Atkins

I know Chicago starter Chris Sale is just 5-6 on the year, but I'm not giving up on this kid.

The fiery southpaw was one out awy from picking up his first win in five June starts, but was forced to settle for a 13-strikeout no-decision thanks to an infield dropped popup in the ninth inning. Though Sale is 0-4 with a 3.12 ERA this month, he's recorded 43 strikeouts over 34-1/3 innings, and overall this year he has a 2.75 ERA.

I do love the mismatch over Justin Masterson, since Cleveland's right-hander has gone 2-4 with a 5.20 ERA in his last seven starts after starting the season 7-2 with a 2.83 ERA in his first 10 turns. But I'm not listing Masterson cause in the event he were to be scratched, I still wouldn't mind whatever the matchup would be since Sale is my main reason for playing the South Siders.

Chicago wins this A.L. Central rivalry clash. List Sale only.

4♦ CHICAGO

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 30

Chris Jordan

Hard to deny the Pittsburgh Pirates at this point, right? I mean they're the first MLB team to hit 50 wins this season, they have the best record in baseball. They're doing it with the No. 1 pitching staff in baseball, as it currently sports a league-best 3.17 ERA.

Last night's 2-1 win gave the Pirates an eight-game winning streak and 50 wins prior to July 1 for the first time in franchise history. So talk about momentum for any team right now, you have to side with the Pirates and look at this as a value play when we're laying a price less than the traditional goto number for a Run Line play.

The Brewers have lost four straight and won't want to do anything more than getting out of this series and getting the hell out of Steeltown. Lay the chalk.

4♦ PITTSBURGH

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 30

Scott Delaney

My free play for tonight is on the Seattle Mariners, and though I'm listing both pitchers on this game - Jeremy Bonderman and Edwin Jackson - this is mainly against Jackson, who has struggled to find a groove all season with the Cubbies, and will get beat today, no doubt about it.

Jackson comes into this one after getting roughed up by the Brewers in his last start, in which he allowed six runs over 4-2/3 innings. I know he is 3-0 in his career against the Mariners, including a 2-0 record at Safeco Field, but when you're pitching for a team like the Cubs, and can't get much done, it's nearly hopeless.

I'd rather side with Bonderman, who has allowed just four runs in his last four appearances, and seems to be well past the road to recovery after a slew of injuries kept him from starting a game. He's 1-1 with a 3.30 ERA on the year, and should have no trouble against the Cubbies' futile offense, that has the seventh-worst batting average (.241) in the league.

Take the M's and list both.

4♦ SEATTLE

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 30

John Ryan

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers    
Play: Philadelphia Phillies

The simulator shows a high probability that Philadelphia will get a much needed win. The season has all but slipped away from the Phillies and once again the offense and bullpen cost Cliff Lee a win last night. However, they have been a resilient team for years and just when you think the ‘game is over’ they find a way to fight back to the brink of contention again. Dodgers are in a series of weak positions for a win today. Note they are just 14-27 (-17.9 Units) against the money line facing good fielding teams averaging <=0.6 errors/game this season; 6-15 (-11.1 Units) against the money line facing an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better this season. Philadelphia will start Kendrick and he is having a strong season posting a 7-4 mark with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.191 WHIP in 16 starts. In his last start he won 6-2 at San Diego going 8 innings allowing 2 ER on 7 hits and struckout 6 batters while walking none. I strongly believe he will get the job done again today. Take the Phillies.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 30

Jeff Alexander

Washington Nationals -134

The Nationals get the call as our free play with the more proven starter on the rubber. The Nationals are 34-16 in Gonzalez's last 50 starts, 20-7 in his last 27 road starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite. The Mets have lost 20 of their last 28 at home as well as 14 of their last 18 home meetings with Washington. The Nationals are also 4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts versus the Mets. Bet Washington.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 30

Sports Experts 17

Tulsa Shock at Washington Mystics
Pick: Washington Mystics

Even Tulsa Shock is not a good team and one of the worst in WNBA, they covered ATS for 7 games in a row until they face 2 days ago a injury Indiana team that won 69-80 and finish that run of winning big dogs lines. Today Washington girls will win this one easy and bring back the Shock to their reality on cover some lines, but not 7 in a row... Very good situation give Sports Experts 17 team to take Washington Mystics -4 points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 30

Wunderdog

Washington at New York Mets
Pick: Washington -135

Washington has more wins on the road than New York has at home. After winning their first three home series, the Mets have claimed only one set at Citi Field since, sweeping a pair from the New York Yankees on May 27-28. The Nationals are 23-9 as a road favorite and have one of their best arms going in Gio Gonzalez (4-3, 3.31 ERA), who has a 2.23 ERA his last three starts striking out 23 in 20 innings. The Nationals are 20-7 in Gonzalez's last 27 road starts. The Mets go with young Dan Wheeler, who took a step back in his second start: He gave up four runs in 5 1/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday. Command has been Wheeler's biggest worry, as he has issued eight walks and hit a batter in 11 1/3 innings at the big-league level. The Mets are 8-20 in their last 28 home games, and 6-21 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Mets are just 15-24 at home, and they've lost 14 of the last 18 meetings with Washington at Citi Field. Play the Nationals.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 30

Rocketman

San Francisco @ Colorado
Play : San Francisco -113

The San Francisco Giants travel to Colorado to take on the Rockies on Sunday afternoon.  Colorado is 9-24 last 3 years as a home underdog of +100 to +125.  Colorado is 19-45 last 3 years when playing on Sunday.  Colorado is 53-84 last 3 years when playing in day games.  Madison Bumgarner takes the mound for the Giants where he is 7-5 with a 3.20 ERA overall this year and 2-1 with a 1.71 ERA his last 3 starts.  Drew Pomeranz will be making his first start of the season for the Rockies.  San Francisco is 33-15 overall vs Colorado the past 3 years.  Bumgarner is 6-4 with a 3.23 ERA in all his starts vs Colorado in his career.  We'll recommend a small play on San Francisco today!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 30

Jack Jones

St. Louis Cardinals +121

The St. Louis Cardinals are showing excellent value as a road underdog to the Oakland A's this afternoon. After losing five of their last seven games overall, they'll be highly motivated for a victory in this one.

Jake Westbrook just seems to get better with age. The right-hander has gone 4-2 with a 2.21 ERA over nine starts this season. He is also 5-5 with a 3.90 ERA in 14 career starts against Oakland.

Westbrook is clearly the better starter in this one. He'll be up against Tom Milone, who is 6-7 with a 4.06 ERA in 16 starts this season. Milone has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA and 1.620 WHIP in his last three starts.

St. Louis is 11-3 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games in day games this season. The Cardinals are 11-4 (+8.7 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. St. Louis is 9-2 in its last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The A's are 3-8 in Milone's last 11 starts as a favorite. Bet the Cardinals Sunday.

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