NBA Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 13

NBA Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 13

MIAMI (79 - 22) at SAN ANTONIO (72 - 27) - 6/13/2013, 9:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 101-73 ATS (+20.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 81-58 ATS (+17.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 269-208 ATS (+40.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 59-42 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 141-106 ATS (+24.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MIAMI is 56-45 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MIAMI vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 13 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Miami is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 13 games when playing at home against Miami
San Antonio is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Miami

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 13

Heat at Spurs: What Bettors Need to Know
Covers.com

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs (-1.5, 187)

Spurs lead best-of-seven series 2-1.

The status of San Antonio point guard Tony Parker is up in the air as the host Spurs attempt to take a 3-1 lead over the Miami Heat in Thursday’s Game 4 of the NBA Finals. Parker underwent an MRI exam on Wednesday and the results displayed a mild strain of his right hamstring and he’s listed as day to day. Miami attempts to rebound from a 113-77 loss that stands as the third-largest margin of defeat in Finals history.

Heat forward LeBron James is blaming himself for the 36-point loss after he scored under 20 points for the third consecutive game. He promises a much better effort in Game 4. “I take full responsibility for our team’s performance (Tuesday) night,” James said. “Me as a leader, I can’t afford to perform like I did and expect us to win on the road. It’s that simple. So I’m putting all the pressure on my chest, on my shoulders, to come through for our team. That’s the way it is.” San Antonio made an NBA Finals record 16 3-pointers on Tuesday and guard Danny Green is 16-for-23 from behind the arc in the series after making seven in Game 3.

ABOUT THE HEAT: James is averaging a pedestrian 16.7 points and making just 38.9 percent of his field-goal attempts. The Heat were outscored by 32 points with him on the floor in Game 3, an embarrassing fact for the four-time NBA MVP. James isn’t receiving much help from center Chris Bosh, who hasn’t scored more than 13 points in the series and is averaging just 9.3 points over the past seven games. Guard Dwyane Wade also is having an underwhelming series, averaging 14.3 points. Veteran swingman Mike Miller scored 15 points on 5-of-5 3-point shooting in Game 3 and has made eight straight 3-pointers over the past two games. He is 10-for-11 shooting in the series, including 9-of-10 from 3-point range.

ABOUT THE SPURS: Parker’s ailing hamstring created more playing time for reserve Gary Neal, who made six 3-pointers and scored 24 points in Game 3. Neal and Green combined for 51 points and San Antonio also received a superb game from forward Kawhi Leonard, who had 14 points, 12 rebounds and four steals. Leonard is averaging 11 points and 12 rebounds in the series and has excelled on the defensive end against James, frustrating the Miami star with his tenacious defense and long arms. “I’m studying my team concepts and just buying into our game plan,” Leonard said. “That’s all I’m doing – playing hard.” Leonard and power forward Tim Duncan both have grabbed 10 or more rebounds in all three games. Duncan is averaging 13.7 points and 13 rebounds.

TRENDS:

* Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
* Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
* Under is 19-6 in Heat last 25 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
* Under is 22-6 in the last 28 meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:


1. San Antonio’s 113 points marked only the second time Miami allowed 100 or more points in 19 postseason games.

2. Heat G Mario Chalmers was scoreless in Game 3 after leading Miami with 19 points in its Game 2 win.

3. The Spurs are 26-for-52 from 3-point range over the past two games.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 13

2013 NBA Playoffs

Parker strained a hamstring in Game 3, returned for 1:30 but left because the game wasn't close. Impossible for us to tell how hampered he is; it is possible they don't even know. Heat's spread results in last nine games are LWLWLWLWL; Miami won and covered game following its last 11 losses; last time they lost consecutive games was Jan 8-10, at Indiana, Portland. Heat is 3-23 in franchise history at this site. James took six foul shots in first three series games; he needs to go to basket more. Five of last six Miami games stayed under total; six of Spurs' last seven home games went over. Spurs are 7-1 at home in playoffs; Green is leading scorer in series thru first three games- go figure.

Armadillosports.com

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 13

Heat at Spurs, Game 4
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

If Miami made any sort of statement when it evened the NBA Finals with its Game 2 victory, that statement was matched – and raised – by San Antonio in its 113-77 clubbing of Miami in Tuesday’s Game 3 at AT&T Center.

The Spurs took a 2-1 series advantage by dominating at the defensive end and making a Finals-record 16 shots from 3-point land. They took the cash as two-point home favorites, while the 190 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 188-point total.

Danny Green and Gary Neal stole the show by combining to drain 13 treys. Green scored a game-high 27 points, while Neal finished with 24. Neither player committed a turnover.

Kawhi Leonard scored 14 points, pulled down 12 rebounds, made four steals and completely stymied LeBron James with his defense. Tim Duncan added 12 points, 14 boards and a pair of blocked shots.

Tony Parker scored just six points but dished out eight assists compared to only two turnovers. Manu Ginobili finished with seven points and six assists.

James seemingly got beyond the mental hurdles in his game by winning his first ring last season. However, his critics certainly recall his failures in Cleveland, particularly that close-out game at Boston in his last game with the Cavs. They also remember his subpar play in the Finals against Dallas two years ago.

In Game 3, James was an abysmal 7-of-21 from the field. Sure, he does lots of other things (11 rebounds and five assists compared to only two turnovers), but the Best Player in the World has got to put the ball in the bucket when his team needs him in the NBA Finals.

For the series, James is now averaging 16.6 points per game, 10.2 PPG below his average for the regular season (26.8 PPG). James has only made 21-of-54 shots from the field for a 38.9 percentage. He shot at an incredible 56.5 percent clip during the regular season.

In the past, James might have deflected any criticism bound to come his way, but not so after Game 3.

Before the press even had the chance to ask about his shaky performance Tuesday night, James was his own worst critic, "If I'm better, we're better," James declared. "I'm putting everything on my chest and my shoulders. I've got to be better. I'm not doing my part.

"I can't have a performance like that and expect to win the game. I've got to do more, it's that's simple. I've got to do more.

"I've got to be able to put the ball into the basket."

Dwyane Wade had 16 points, five assists and four steals, while Chris Bosh finished with 12 points, 10 rebounds, four assists and three blocked shots.

Mike Miller made all five of his attempts from behind the line to chip in 15 points. If we go back to Game 5 of last year’s Finals against Oklahoma City, Miller has now buried 16-of-18 attempts (89%) from deep in his last four games played in the NBA Finals. Wow!

After scoring 19 points in Game 2, Mario Chalmers couldn’t buy a bucket and finished with a bagel in Game 3. Also, he committed four turnovers compared to only one assist.

If there’s a positive note for Miami going into Thursday’s Game 4, it’s that it has been downright nasty coming off a loss in these playoffs. The Heat owns a 5-0 record both SU and ATS in such spots, winning by a whopping margin of 21.6 points per game.

Most books are listing San Antonio (72-27 straight up, 51-46-2 against the spread) as a 1.5-point ‘chalk’ for Game 4. The total is 187.5.

Miami (79-22 SU, 56-45 ATS) will be in its ninth underdog situation of the year. In eight previous ‘dog spots, the Heat compiled a 6-2 record both SU and ATS.

Sportsbook.ag has updated its odds for whom will win NBA Finals MVP honors. James remains the ‘chalk’ but his number has been reduced to +110 (risk $100 to win $110). The next-shortest odds belong to Duncan (+300) and Parker (+300).

The rest of the numbers are as follows: Wade (25/1), Ginobili (40/1), Bosh (75/1) and Chalmers (100/1). The ‘field’ has +300 odds (risk $100 to win $300).

When I asked VI’s Chris David about the total from Game 3, he had a number of thoughts. David said, “Gamblers on the ‘over’ is Game 3 were very fortunate thanks to the late-game surge from the uber-excited Spurs bench.

“I’m guessing some folks were loving or hating DeJuan Blair (who scored nine points at garbage time). As far as the game went, the pace wasn’t extremely fast but the pair made shots, including a combined 24 bombs from 3-point land. I’d be surprised to see that type of production from distance again but I’m the same guy who’s been surprised by the lack of fouls and free throw attempts. Since combining for 35 attempts from the stripe in Game 1, the Heat and Spurs have taken a combined 28 and 29 the past two games, well below their averages.”

Those trips to the charity stripe, or a lack thereof, would’ve undoubtedly resulted in another ‘under’ in Game 3 if not for the wild 3-point shooting barrage.

Looking to Game 4, David said, “We should be well aware of Miami’s production off a loss (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) in the playoffs and the reason it has been successful is because of its offense. The Heat has scored 115, 114, 90, 99 and 103 points.

“Delving into the box scores further, Miami has averaged 24.2 free throw attempts in those wins. If you base your handicapping on current form and situations, the best play for Thursday would be ‘over’ Miami’s team total, which is hovering around 93 points.”

Tip-off for Thursday’s Game 4 is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ABC.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

Parker sustained a hamstring injury in the third quarter of Game 3. He had an MRI on Wednesday, but the results were not yet known. As of 4:00 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday, he was considered 'probable' for Game 4.

The ‘under’ is 2-1 in this series, 23-6 in the last 29 head-to-head meetings between the Spurs and Heat.

On Popovich’s watch, San Antonio owns a 9-2 straight-up record in 11 home games in the NBA Finals.

VI’s Chris David gets a hat tip for this gem of a stat: LeBron James is now 2-6 (33%) in eight career road games in the NBA Finals. On the other hand, Michael Jordan finished his career with a 12-6 road record (67%) in six Finals appearances.

Miami hasn’t lost back-to-back games since dropping a 92-90 decision at Portland on Jan. 10.

Sportsbook.ag has released future odds for the 2014 campaign. Miami is the +250 ‘chalk,’ followed by the Thunder (6/1), Bulls (10/1), Spurs (10/1), Pacers (15/1), Rockets (20/1), Grizzlies (25/1), Knicks (25/1) and Clippers (25/1).

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 13

NBA Finals - Game 4
By Sportsbook.ag

MIAMI HEAT at SAN ANTONIO SPURS

The Spurs hope to carry momentum from their three-point barrage in Game 3 to and build up a 3-1 series lead over the Heat on Thursday. But they could be without star point guard Tony Parker, who is questionable with a hamstring injury.

After a Game 1 thriller, which ended as a 92-88 win for San Antonio, the last two contests have been blowouts. A 33-5 Miami run in Game 2 led to a 104-84 win, but the Spurs came out firing in Game 3, making an NBA Finals record 16 three-pointers (16-of-32) to win a 113-77 laugher at AT&T Center. Like Game 2, the score was tight at halftime (50-44), but San Antonio outscored the defending champions 63-33 in the final two quarters. Both Danny Green (27 points, 7-of-9 threes) and Gary Neal (24 points, 6-of-10 threes) recorded playoff-career-high scoring games for the Spurs, which outrebounded the Heat 52-36, including 19-9 on the offensive glass. San Antonio improved to 42-7 SU at home this season, but is just 24-23-2 ATS in its home arena.

Despite the big defeat, the Heat remain the NBA's third-best road wager this season (29-20 ATS, 59%), but have now lost three straight road games during this postseason, dropping these contests by an average score of 101 to 82. Miami has been the better team on short rest this season though, going 35-28 ATS (56%) with one day's rest, while San Antonio is just 29-30 ATS (49%) in this same scenario. The Heat are also 15-6 ATS (71%) when coming off an SU loss, including 11 straight victories, both SU and ATS.

Miami is 13-6 SU and 10-9 ATS (53%) this postseason, but the offense has really gone sour in the past seven games, reaching 100 points just once and averaging a mere 89.4 PPG on 42.8% FG despite an excellent 41.6% three-point clip. Turnovers have not been the problem during this stretch (10.3 TOPG), but the Heat are not making the extra pass, sporting a pedestrian 17.3 APG during these seven contests. Before Game 3, the Miami defense had allowed 100 points only once in the playoffs, giving up 102 in an overtime win. Even with the 113-point barrage on Tuesday, Heat opponents have scored just 89.0 PPG on 43.1% FG (34.9% threes) in the 19 postseason games.

SF LeBron James (16.7 PPG, 12.3 RPG, 7.3 APG in series) finished Game 3 with decent overall numbers (15 points, 11 rebounds, five assists, two steals), but he had a game-worst rating of minus-32, and really disappeared when the Spurs starting blowing the game out. James has made just 38.9% FG in this series and 36.8% FG in seven career NBA Finals games versus San Antonio.

SG Dwyane Wade (14.3 PPG, 4.3 APG in series) also was nowhere to be found when the Spurs were making their Game 3 run, but due mostly to a strong first half, Wade finished with 16 points (7-of-15 FG), five assists and four steals. After seven straight postseasons with at least 22.0 PPG, Wade has just 14.2 PPG in these playoffs.

Although he has back-to-back double-doubles of 12 points and 10 rebounds, the Heat need more from PF Chris Bosh (12.3 PPG, 8.3 RPG in series), who hasn't surpassed 20 points in any playoff game. During the regular season he had 19 instances of scoring over 20 points. The team really needs more production from PG Mario Chalmers (9.0 PPG in series) who had zero points (0-for-5 FG), one assist and four turnovers in Game 3. Just two nights earlier, Chalmers poured in a game-high 19 points (6-of-12 FG, 2-of-4 threes) with a game-best rating of +30.

Miami's reserve trio of SF Mike Miller (9.7 PPG on 10-of-11 FG in series), SG Ray Allen (10.0 PPG on 10-of-14 FG in series) and PF Chris Andersen (6.0 PPG on 7-of-9 FG in series) all need to get more looks, as the trio is an amazing 19-of-22 shooting (86%) in the past two games, with Miller a perfect 8-for-8 threes and Allen 3-of-5 threes. Allen, the NBA's all-time leader in three-point shooting, did not attempt a single three-pointer in Game 3 though.

The Spurs continue to roll during these playoffs, sporting a record of 14-3 SU and 12-5 ATS (71%), outscoring opponents by 9.6 PPG, and outshooting them 46% FG to 42% FG. Part of this great accuracy has come from an unselfish and careful offense that has 23.0 APG and just 11.9 TOPG (1.94 Ast/TO ratio). Defensively, the team has generated 7.9 SPG and 5.2 BPG, which has helped make up for a minus-1.3 RPG margin during this postseason.

PF Tim Duncan (13.7 PPG, 13.0 RPG in series) responded from a horrible Game 2 (NBA Finals career-worst nine points on 3-of-13 FG) with a double-double of 12 points and 14 rebounds. His board work (7 offensive rebounds) helped keep key possessions alive and he also blocked two shots.

PG Tony Parker (13.3 PPG, 6.3 APG in series) has been excellent in the postseason, but the "slight elongation" in his right hamstring injury could be a major issue. After a mammoth 21 points (9-of-18 FG), six assists and zero turnovers in Game 1, he's scored just 19 points (7-of-19 FG) with 13 assists and seven turnovers in the past two contests combined.

Luckily the team had both SG Danny Green (18.7 PPG, 3.3 RPG in series) and SG Gary Neal (13.7 PPG in series) to help fill Parker's void. Green is an amazing 16-of-23 (70%) from three-point range this series, while Neal is 9-for-18 from downtown. Their scoring has relegated SG Manu Ginobili (8.3 PPG, 3.3 APG in series) to just 23.6 MPG this series. Ginobili missed all four of his threes on Tuesday -- dropping his shooting clips to 36.4% FG and 26.5% threes over the past nine games -- but he did have six assists to help his team.

SF Kawhi Leonard (11.0 PPG, 12.0 RPG in series) has also not let poor shooting take him out of his game. He's made just 13-of-31 FG (41.9%) in the NBA Finals, but has played stellar defense on LeBron James and ripped down 13 offensive boards already. He also posted a game-best +29 rating in Game 3.

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