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NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, May 6

NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, May 6

GOLDEN STATE (51 - 37) at SAN ANTONIO (62 - 24) - 5/6/2013, 9:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 93-68 ATS (+18.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 123-88 ATS (+26.2 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games in all playoff games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 138-103 ATS (+24.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 48-39 ATS (+5.1 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 54-41 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO (49 - 40) at MIAMI (70 - 16) - 5/6/2013, 7:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-7 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-8 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Miami
Chicago is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Miami is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Chicago

Golden State is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games when playing San Antonio
Golden State is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
San Antonio is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
San Antonio is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Golden State

Golden State at San Antonio
Golden State: 10-22 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
San Antonio: 10-1 ATS off a road blowout win by 20 points or more

Chicago at Miami
Chicago: 13-25 ATS after a game where they covered the spread
Miami: 15-7 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, May 6

NBA Playoff Betting Preview: No. 6 Golden State Warriors vs. No. 2 San Antonio Spurs
By Alf Musketa

Western Conference Semifinals

No. 6 Golden State Warriors vs. No. 2 San Antonio Spurs

Series Schedule
Game 1 - Monday, May 6, at San Antonio 6:30 pm PT (TNT)
Game 2 - Wednesday, May 8, at San Antonio 6:30 pm PT (TNT)
Game 3 - TBD
Game 4 - TBD
Game 5 * TBD
Game 6 * TBD
Game 7 * TBD

Series Price (CRIS)
San Antonio -1000/Golden State +650

Playoffs Records
San Antonio - 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS, 2-2 O/U
Golden State - 4-2 SU, 6-0 ATS, 3-2 O/U

Season Series (Split SU, Golden State 3-1 ATS, 1-3 O/U)
4/15 - Golden State 116 (-6) vs. San Antonio 106, OVER 199.5
4/20 - San Antonio (-8) 104 vs. Golden State 93, UNDER 203
2/22 - Golden State (+3.5) 107 vs. San Antonio 101 OT, UNDER 208.5
1/18 - San Antonio 95 vs. Golden State (+11.5) 88, UNDER 202

The San Antonio Spurs (62-24) have been resting while the Golden State Warriors (51-37) battled Denver to the final seconds of last night’s Game 6 victory. Therefore the Spurs have an advantage, not to mention a stellar home court and they just might be the best team in the Western Conference now that Oklahoma City is without Russell Westbrook.
Last season in the opening round of the playoffs, the Spurs knocked off Utah rather easily 4-0. They then had a week off in between their next series and swept the Los Angeles Clippers 4-0. The Spurs just swept the Los Angeles Lakers 4-0. I see a trend here. Spurs’ head coach Gregg Popovich is relishing the time off and game planning while Warriors head coach Mark Jackson has plenty on the docket including a recent fine for criticizing the referees.
Between these two teams the season series went 2-2 with each team winning at home. Golden State and the vocal crowd at the Oracle Arena have to believe that if they steal a road game away from the Spurs, they can advance to the Western Conference Finals. Not so fast. The Warriors haven't won in San Antonio since 1997!
The Warriors had a nice surprise with power forward David Lee (hip injury) returning in Game 6 on Thursday, but he only played for a minute. Was a tactical move by Jackson to inspire the crowd? Is he really going to be a factor in this series? And what about Andrew Bogut and his nagging ankle injury? If the Spurs are to put away Golden State they must figure out a way to stop the hot shooting of guard Stephen Curry, which is easier said than done. Curry did not play in the first meeting against the Spurs due to injury, but after that he got better each game scoring 19, 24 and 35 points just two weeks ago.
Given the coaching edge, rested and ready mentality, and home court, we'll predict San Antonio to win this series in five games.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, May 6

Monday's NBA Playoff Action: What Bettors Need to Know

Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat (-11.5, 186)

Game 1

LeBron James was named Most Valuable Player on Sunday and the Miami Heat get back to playing basketball on Monday when they open the Eastern Conference semifinals against the visiting Chicago Bulls. Miami hasn’t played since finishing a four-game, first-round sweep of the Milwaukee Bucks on April 28. Chicago completed its seven-game series win over the Brooklyn Nets on Saturday. The Bulls will likely be without forward Luol Deng (illness) while point guard Kirk Hinrich is a game-time decision.

Chicago used a gritty Game 7 effort against Brooklyn to reach the conference semifinals with center Joakim Noah leading the way with 24 points, 14 rebounds and six blocked shots. The Bulls are thriving without guard Derrick Rose, who mysteriously continues to sit out with a knee injury nearly two months after he was medically cleared to play. James had a superb campaign in winning his fourth MVP award. The Miami forward averaged 26.8 points, eight rebounds and 7.3 assists while helping the Heat to a league-best 66-16 mark. The only other players to win four or more MVPs are Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (six), Michael Jordan (five), Bill Russell (five) and Wilt Chamberlain (four).

ABOUT THE BULLS: Deng missed the final two games of the Brooklyn series after a spinal tap caused serious complications. The spinal tap was performed to see if Deng had contracted meningitis – results were negative – but the procedure caused severe headaches and other issues that required Deng to be hospitalized. His return date remains uncertain. Hinrich (calf) missed the final three games of the series against the Nets and Nate Robinson will again be in the starting lineup if Hinrich can’t play. Guard Marco Belinelli will have a solid role in the series after scoring 24 points in the Game 7 victory and 22 points the previous outing.

ABOUT THE HEAT: James and his teammates are well-rested after the extended break – one that should help guard Dwyane Wade’s balky right knee. Wade recently returned to practice and is expected to be in the starting lineup for the opener. Wade told reporters on Sunday he’s more concerned about his level of conditioning than the knee. “When you go out for a while, your wind is the first thing to go and your legs get heavy,” Wade said. “So it’s just about getting them under you early on and just getting into the game.” The Heat won all four games of the Milwaukee series by double digits.


* Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
* Bulls are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a SU win.
* Over is 7-1 in Bulls last eight games playing on one day rest.
* Home team is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.


1. The teams split four regular-season meetings, including a Chicago victory on March 27 that ended Miami’s 27-game winning streak.

2. The two teams met in the 2011 Eastern Conference finals with Miami winning the series in five games.

3. Chicago is 7-23 all-time when playing a postseason Game 1 on the road.

Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs (-8.5, 201)

Game 1

The Golden State Warriors were longshots to make the Western Conference semifinals as the No. 6 seed. After dispatching the Denver Nuggets in six games, the Warriors will be staring at even slimmer odds when they open a seven-game series at the second-seeded San Antonio Spurs on Monday. Golden State has not won in San Antonio since 1997, and the Spurs looked dominant in cruising past the Los Angeles Lakers in four games.

The Warriors lost David Lee to a torn hip flexor in a Game 1 loss against the Nuggets but leaned on Stephen Curry the rest of the way. Curry will need to have another big series against San Antonio, which held the Lakers to an average of 85.3 points in a four-game sweep. The Spurs have been sitting around waiting for the rest of the Western Conference to finish up the first round since April 28, giving Manu Ginobili an extra eight days to rest his tender hamstring and Tiago Splitter the same time to recover from an ankle sprain.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS: Andrew Bogut had his best game in a Golden State uniform with 14 points, 21 rebounds and four blocks in the decisive Game 6 against the Nuggets and will be counted on even more against Tim Duncan and a bigger San Antonio front line. The Warriors got plenty of open looks on the perimeter for the likes of Harrison Barnes, Jarrett Jack, Draymond Green and Klay Thompson in the first round and will continue to run to the 3-point line on the break and off the pick-and-roll. Golden State will go as far as Curry can take the team, and the star guard has had a few extra days to rest his ailing left ankle since the series with the Nuggets ended on Thursday. Curry rolled the ankle in Game 2 and was the target of some physical play the rest of the series but never stopped draining big second-half jumpers. He did his most damage in the third quarter of the Warriors’ wins and was a key during the decisive run in Game 6. Now all Golden State needs to do is get over the mental hurdle of a near-breakdown at the end of Game 6, when a slew of turnovers and missed shots allowed the Nuggets to creep back into the game.

ABOUT THE SPURS: San Antonio sputtered down the stretch in the regular season, with Ginobili and Tony Parker missing time, but had no trouble with the beat-up Los Angeles Lakers in the first round. The Spurs swept that series by an average of 18.8 points and have an offense that can get out and run with the Warriors and even challenge them on the perimeter with 3-point shooters Danny Green, Kawhi Leonard, Matt Bonner and Gary Neal. San Antonio is also capable of playing stifling defense, as the Lakers learned in the first round. “This is a good start for us,” Duncan said after the Game 4 win over Los Angeles. “We like the pace we’re at now. We like the rhythm we’re at right now and how healthy we are right now. Hopefully it can stay that way.”


* Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
* Warriors are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against the Western Conference.
* Spurs are 4-0 in their last four games overall.
* Under is 4-1 in last five meetings in San Antonio.
* Over is 4-1 in Spurs' last five games at home.


1. Lee made an emotional one-minute return to the lineup in Game 6 and will be available off the bench against the Spurs, though not likely for extended minutes.

2. Parker averaged 22.3 points and 6.5 assists in the first round despite not playing more than 27 minutes in the final two games.

3. The teams split four games in the regular season but San Antonio has taken 17 of the last 19 meetings.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, May 6

2013 NBA Playoffs

Gritty, banged-up Bulls head south after winning Game 7 in Brooklyn 48 hours ago; they get Deng back here, but he spent several days laid up in hospital, so not sure how effective he'll be. Teams split four meetings this year, going 1-1 in each building; Heat shot 50.7/51.4% in two games they won, 46.2/48.1% in two losses. Miami won its last 12 games since home loss to New York April 12; they're 5-2 vs spread last seven games they were home favorite. Over is 9-4 in Chicago's last thirteen games.

Golden State won six of its last eight games, covered last nine, including last four as road underdogs; Warriors split four meetings vs San Antonio in regular season, with home side winning all four games, Spurs winning by 7-11 points here. SA hasn't played in eight days since sweeping LA, with all four wins by 11+ points. Warriors finished off Denver at home Thursday, so they've had decent rest time. Three of Golden State's wins in first round went over total; both its losses stayed under.

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