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MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 26

MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 26

MLB Weather Report

Atlanta Braves vs. Detroit Tigers (-125, 7.5)
The wind will blow in from center field at 10 mph. The Tigers were 4-1 in 2012 at home when the wind blew in from center field.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox (-140, 8)
The wind will blow in from right field at 13 mph. The White Sox were 6-2 at home in 2012 when the wind blew in from right field.

Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals (-163, 8.5)
A 73 percent chance of rain is in the forecast in Kansas City.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals (-186, 8.5)
There's a 56 percent chance of rain and chances of thunderstorms in St. Louis.

MLB Baseball Weather Analyzer

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 26

MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Pittsburgh winning it's first series in the City of Brotherly Love over the past ten seasons continue their 10-game road swing with a weekend stop in St Louis. Pirates lost the opener in Philadelphia but responded with three straight wins against Hamels, Halladay, Lee and have now won 6-of-7 and 12-of-16 on the diamond. Despite the streak Pirates will be mighty edgy heading to Busch Stadium as they're scheduled to open the set with Jonathan Sanchez (0-2, 11.12 ERA). The well travelled southpaw has not only struggled with Pirates, Sanchez is on a 1-15 skid his last twenty-five trips to the mound with his teams (Pit, Col, Royals, Giants) 6-19 over the span. He'll be opposed by Lance Lynn (3-0, 3.68 ERA) who is 3-1 lifetime vs Pirates over five starts (4-1 TSR). The betting marking aware of the mismatch on the mound have Cardinals $1.95 to $2.25 favorite depending on locale.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 26

MLB Odds and Picks
By: The Linemakers

LAS VEGAS -- While the NL West is home to the world champions, and the NL East has the two teams most experts picked to win the pennant, the good old NL Central is the only division in MLB to have four teams with winning records. It’s a pretty good accomplishment, considering the slow starts by the Pirates (1-5) and Brewers (2-8).

Headlining the Central this weekend is the Cardinals (13-8) and Pirates (13-9) battling for first place. It doesn’t have the same intensity of Reds-Cardinals, but these two clubs don't particularly care for each other, either.

While the Cardinals started the season 1-3, they haven’t lost two games in a row since, and they come in red hot with a sweep of the Nationals in Washington. The Pirates are on a three-game winning streak of their own.

These teams split a pair of games in Pittsburgh earlier this month. St. Louis’ Lance Lynn got the win in the first game, and A.J. Burnett knotted it up for the Bucs.

At the time the first series began, the Pirates were playing well, winning five of their prior six games. When the Cards left town, the Bucs welcomed the streaking Braves, and took three of four from them. Then, they went to Philadelphia and took three of four from the Phillies, coming from behind late to win the last two games of the series. It’s interesting to note that the Pirates lost the first game in each of those series.

Lynn (3-0, 3.68 ERA) looks to beat the Pirates again tonight. Although the Cardinals won the April 15 meeting, 10-6, Lynn wasn’t fooling them much. He pitched five innings and allowed seven hits and four runs, while walking three and striking out four. He followed that up with an impressive seven shutout inning performance in a 5-0 win at Philadelphia.

The Pirates send Jonathan Sanchez (0-2, 11.12 ERA) to the mound, and if he doesn’t perform soon, he could find himself out of a job. Manager Clint Hurdle won’t be waiting patiently for Sanchez’s game to come around. In his last start, against the Braves last Sunday, Sanchez was given 74 pitches and three innings of work. He gave up only up two runs, but he was laboring. The Pirates ended up winning the game, 4-2.

We can see a repeat of that scenario tonight, which gives a little more value to the Pirates. The prospect of getting the Pirates’ best attribute – their bullpen – by the fourth inning makes them more attractive.

And the comebacks have become contagious. Each night there’s a new hero, and their chemistry is outstanding, but is it realistic to think Gaby Sanchez and Garrett Jones can do it every night?

Right now, yes it is. Pittsburgh is streaking, and tonight it might be Russell Martin’s turn to be the hero.

Lynn at -200 is way too high a price, which forces a play on the Pirates. We don‘t like Sanchez at all, but we do like what’s going on with the rest of his team, and they're worth a pre-August ride.

We also think this game will go OVER the total. It’s a correlated, two-fold play: if the Pirates win, the game should go OVER.

Dillon Gee favored today?

It’s hard to back the Phillies after watching the bullpen blow their last two games. It’s a rough day for the Philly faithful when heroes like Chase Utley and Ryan Howard both hit homers, Roy Halladay pitches well, and they still lose.

But we like them to bounce back against the Mets’ Dillon Gee (1-3, 5.95). While Gee appears to have come out of his slump with a good start against the Nationals, it’s worth taking +110 and betting against him. We’ll find out if he’s actually closer to the pitcher from his previous two starts, when he served up four home runs and gave up 12 runs in 7 2/3 innings.

Kazmir OVER the total

Scott Kazmir made his Indians debut last Saturday, and the team won impressively, 19-6. But Kazmir gave up all six runs in 3 1/3 innings and was sent to the showers after 89 pitches.

He’ll be going against a Royals team that just beat its No. 1 nemesis, Justin Verlander, who was previously 15-2 against them. Ervin Santana (2-1, 2.48 ERA) takes the mound tonight for the Royals, who have won three straight behind him.

Each of Santana’s four games have stayed UNDER the total, but we think you’ll see more than 8.5 total runs tonight in Friday night shootout.

A’s OVER hard to ignore

You can stare at the pitching stats all you want, look at the cool Oakland evening weather that kills fly balls, and be scared off by a low total of 7.5.

However, night after night, A’s games keep going OVER. It doesn’t matter who they play, where they play, or who is pitching. Nineteen of their 23 games have gone OVER the total, including their last five.

Lincecum implode watch is over

The search for Tim Lincecum’s (2-0, 3.97 ERA) poor outing is over. We’ve given up. After taking our lumps by going against him in all four of his starts, we’re raising the white flag. He looks to have worked out some of his issues, as the Giants suggested he would.

He’s a -112 favorite tonight at San Diego.

The chase started in spring training and ended last Saturday, when he beat the Padres, 2-0, going 6 2/3 innings and striking out eight.

We’re not saying he’s back, because we want to see more of the equation, but for now, we’re done chasing. Go get ’em, Freak.

Friday's plays:

Pirates (Sanchez) +180 at Cardinals

Pirates/Cardinals OVER 8.5 (+105)

Phillies (Kendrick) +110 at Mets

Indians/Royals OVER 8.5 (-110)

Orioles/A's OVER 7.5 (+105)

Season to date record: 39-25 (+1545)

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