MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, April 25

MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, April 25

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Hot Over Pitchers Take The Mound Thursday
By Covers.com

Thursday features a number of starting pitchers that have satisfied over bettors so far this season. Here is a look at three that take the bump.

Team over/under record in pitcher's starts indicated in italics. All stats prior to Wednesday's games

Jeremy Hefner, New York Mets (0-2, 7.07 ERA)

4-0 over/under

Hefner has just 14 innings pitched in four starts this season. The Mets have lost all four games in which he gets the start and the over is 4-0. Hefner has not pitched more than four innings in any of his last three starts.

The Mets host the Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday in the second game of their series. They are tops in the National League with a 14-4 over/under record.

Gio Gonzalez, Washington Nationals (1-1, 5.85 ERA)

3-1 over/under

Gonzalez has gone cold after a sparkling start to the season. The Nationals' lefty has a loss and two no-decisions in his last three games, all of which have gone over the total. According to fangraphs.com, Gonzalez has lost about one mile per hour off of his fastball and his percentage of strikes is down four percent from 2012.

The Cincinnati Reds visit the Nationals Thursday. The teams have played three games this season. All have gone over the total.

Jarrod Parker, Oakland (0-3, 7.50 ERA)

3-1 over/under

Oakland is king of the hill in the over/under standings at 17-4. The A's pitching has been decent and is third in the majors with 13 quality starts. Jarrod Parker has just one of those quality starts. He's coming off a loss against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up just one earned run in 6 1-3 innings. Despite that outing, his 7.50 ERA is worst among Oakland's starters and his 18 innings pitched are the fewest among the starting rotation.

Oakland open its series with Baltimore Thursday. It will be the first meeting between the two clubs.

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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers

After yesterday's win marking eight straight for Detroit over Royals at Comerica Park the Tigers' will try for the sweep of this mini two game set sending their workhorse Justin Verlander (2-2, 2.13 ERA) to the mound. The right-hander off three quality starts allowing 6 runs over 20.1 innings while striking out 22 batters has an impressive 15-2 personal record vs Royals over his career with Detroit 17-6 in the twenty-three starts. Royals counter with James Shields (1-2, 3.00 ERA) off a 6 inning 1 run no-decision effort in a loss against Boston. Shields won't be intimidated, the hurler has a 5-1 career mark vs Tigers including two wins opposing Verlander (7-2 TSR w/Rays). Still, got to lean Detroit's way as this venue has been a house of horrors for Kansas City.


Toronto Blue jays at New York Yankees

Expected to dominate the AL East after a dramatic overhaul this offseason the Toronto pre-season buzz has turned into a whimper. Blue Birds offense hitting a combined .225 platting 3.7 runs/game along with a 4.20 team ERA have won just nine of the first twenty-two games costing backers -$671 at the betting window. After managing to salvage the series finale against Orioles avoiding a sweep the Blue Jays will continue their search for answers at New York this weekend in a four game set. Mark Buehrle (1-0, 5.87 ERA) toeing the rubber in the opener will need to spin a real gem if he's to help Jays reverse a 4-14 slide playing in Yankees back yard. The left-hander sports a dreadful 1-12 life-time team start record vs New York. On the other mound, Hiroki Kuroda (2-1, 2.35 ERA) heads to the hill looking to improve his 3-0 team start stretch vs Jays which includes a win hooked up against Buehrle in his last outing. The betting market has New York -$1.40 to -$1.60 favorite depending on locale.

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Thursday Matinee Tips
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The Thursday baseball card showcases three getaway games during the afternoon with two former Cy Young Award winners taking the mound. The lone American League matinee takes place at Comerica Park in Detroit as the Royals look to keep up their winning ways as an underdog.

Royals at Tigers

Kansas City was expected to make progress inside the AL Central this season and the Royals are following suit with a first place start through the first three weeks. Ned Yost's club wraps up a quick two-game set in the Motor City after Wednesday's 7-5 loss, as both teams send their aces to the mound in the series finale.

Justin Verlander (2-2, 2.13 ERA) has alternated wins and losses in each of his four starts, coming off a defeat at Seattle in his last outing. The former MVP struck out a season-high 12 in his previous trip to the rubber, as the Tigers provided Verlander with no offense in a 2-0 loss to the Mariners as a $1.65 road favorite. Verlander lost his only home start, a 7-0 shutout to the Yankees as nearly a $2.00 favorite on April 7, snapping an 11-game winning streak at Comerica Park dating back to 2012.

The Royals send out James Shields (1-2, 3.00 ERA), who has been involved in four contests decided by one run so far. Shields received a no-decision in his previous outing, a 4-3 defeat at Boston last Saturday, but the righty allowed just one earned run in six innings. Kansas City won his only non-quality start, a 9-8 victory at Philadelphia as a $1.20 underdog on February 7. Shields dominated the Tigers as a road 'dog last April as a member of the Rays, scattering six hits and two earned runs in eight innings of a 4-2 triumph.

Pirates at Phillies

Pittsburgh stumbled out of the gate by losing five of its first six games. The Bucs have rebounded nicely with a 11-4 hot stretch over the last 15 contests, as Pittsburgh wraps up its series with its cross-state rivals at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies aren't an automatic victory anymore with its trio of Roy Halladay, Cole Hamels, and Cliff Lee, as Philadelphia owns a dreadful 4-10 record when those pitchers start.

Lee (2-1, 2.83 ERA) dominated in his first two starts, beating the Braves and Mets by tossing at least eight innings each time. However, the southpaw has lost each of his last two outings to the Reds and Cardinals, while allowing all five runs in a 5-0 home defeat to St. Louis last Saturday. Dating back to last August, the Phillies have drilled the 'under' in 11 of Lee's last 12 starts, including five of six at Citizens Bank Park.

The Pirates counter with James McDonald (2-2, 4.12 ERA), who is seeking the consistency that made him 10-2 to start last season. McDonald has traded off quality starts with non-quality outings in his first four trips to the mound in 2013, coming off a solid outing against the Braves. The right-hander shut down the powerful Atlanta lineup as a short home 'dog by allowing two hits and one earned run in six innings of a 3-1 victory.

Dodgers at Mets

Two teams trying to find their way in the National League race wrap up their series at Citi Field, as Los Angeles heads back to the West Coast following Thursday's getaway game. The Dodgers plated just 13 runs during a recent six-game losing streak, but scored a combined 14 runs in consecutive victories over the Orioles and Mets. New York has cooled off after a 7-4 start by losing five of its last eight games, but knocked off the Dodgers last night thanks to a walk-off grand slam.

Jeremy Hefner (0-2, 7.07 ERA) looks to lower his high ERA as the New York right-hander has failed to escape the fourth inning in each of his last two outings. Hefner received a no-decision in his previous outing against Washington, allowing three earned runs in four innings of work, but the Nats edged the Mets, 7-6. The Mets are a perfect 3-0 to the 'over' in his three starts, as the opposition has scored exactly seven runs in each of his three outings.

Southpaw Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-1, 4.01 ERA) is delivering plenty of innings through his first four starts, going at least six innings each time. The Dodgers have split each of his two outings in the favorite role, but this is the first time Ryu has been listed as road 'chalk.' Ryu has drilled the 'over' in each of his previous three trips to the mound, as the Los Angeles offense has scored at least five runs in those three contests.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, April 25

MLB Odds and Picks
By: The Linemakers 
Sportingnews.com

LAS VEGAS -- Rockies’ left-hander Jorge De La Rosa is 0-3 in five career starts at Chase Field, where first-place Colorado tonight begins a tough four-game series with the NL West rival Arizona. But at no time in De Le Rosa’s career has he been on a run like he is now, pitching 17 straight scoreless innings.

In each of his last two starts, De La Rosa has gone six innings of two-hit ball without allowing a run. In his last start on Saturday, the Rockies held on to beat the D‘Backs, 4-3, at Coors Field. Colorado took two of three against the D’Backs last weekend to stay in first place.

Before spring training, the Rockies were 25-to-1 to win the NL West and 150-to-1 to win the World Series, with a win total of 72.5 games. Those odds were largely based on the Rockies losing 98 games in 2012 and finishing in the NL West cellar, 12 games below the Padres. Heading into this week, the Rockies were 40-to-1 to win the World Series.

It’s only April and a lot of things can change, but most of the thoughts about the Rockies from Las Vegas coming into the season appear to be wrong. The Rockies had too many question marks, especially with their pitching. And who knew that the young hitters – who got all kinds of playing time while raw last season – would flourish right out of the gate?

The roster is finally healthy, and the younger and older players have blended perfectly into the most feared offensive attack in April. The Rockies lead the majors in average (.283) and slugging percentage (.473), are second in runs scored (115) and third in on-base percentage (.347). Even without good pitching, those types of numbers are going to get some wins.

Though the pitching staff’s ERA ranks 20th (4.11), it’s been getting the job done, thanks to early leads and surprisingly good bullpen work. The biggest bullpen surprise has been closer Rafael Betancourt, who is 7-for-7 in save opportunities with a 1.74 ERA.

However, it's De La Rosa who has been the biggest boost of all in the Rockies' early turnaround. He was the starting pitcher who figured to give the Rockies a 1-2 punch, along with Ubaldo Jimenez, for the next decade, but a 2011 elbow injury halted that plan, and, of course, Jimenez was dealt to Cleveland.

De La Rosa, now 32, appears to have no lingering effects from the 2011 elbow surgery and is pitching better than ever.

Perhaps the real reason to like the Rockies tonight, besides their impressive resume and +120 odds, is that Trevor Cahill (0-3, 3.60 ERA) is taking the mound for Arizona. He’s the pitcher De La Rosa beat last Saturday, when the Rockies tagged him for four runs off of six hits in seven innings of work.

Angels still baffling bettors

The Angels are the team bettors have had the toughest time dealing with this season.

In Vegas, because of the close proximity to the Angels’ market, there are several locals who follow the team – and regularly wager on them. The Angels also get plenty of support from non-fans because they usually play in one of the latest games on the board, which allows bettors to either try to get back some of their losses from earlier in the day or double up on their winnings. So far, the sports books have been the big winners as the Angels slide continues.

Just as it looked as though the Angels’ imposing lineup was getting into a groove by – L.A. swept the Tigers over the weekend – they lost two of three from the Rangers. In last night’s loss, the Rangers jumped out to an 11-0 lead before the Angels knew what hit them.

Tonight, the Angels face Seattle’s rookie right-hander Brandon Maurer (1-3, 7.45), who has settled down over his last two starts, allowing only two runs in each, after giving up 12 in his first two starts. This would look like a good spot for the Angels hitters, but in most of their 12 losses this season, they appeared to have the edge over their opponent.

While the price may seem a little steep, we like the Angels at -125 tonight, not necessarily because of their bats against Maurer, but because of Garrett Richards (1-0, 2.55 ERA). Richard comes off a dominating, 10-0, win over the Tigers on Saturday, when he struck out eight and allowed just two hits over seven innings.

The Angels are only 2-6 on the road this season, but there’s something to like about Richards, and it might simply be that he’s a ballplayer who’s hungry for success among a handful of teammates who are going through the motions. Most of the Angels’ $148 million payroll has been spent on players who have had success throughout their careers. Richards makes only $495,000 and is making the most of his opportunity to start in place of Jered Weaver.

Richards is trying to make a good impression, and it’s working. The Angels are 2-0 in his two starts this season. Hopefully, the rest of the team can look at the 24-year-old giving his heart and soul, and follow suit.

Thursday’s plays:

Royals (Shields) +160 at Tigers

Rockies (De La Rosa) +120 at D’Backs

Angels (Richards) -125 at Mariners

Season to date record: 38-23 (+1630)

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